Texas A&M at Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

The Texas A&M Aggies (3-1, 1-0 SEC) battle the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2, 0-1) at AT&T Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

While Arkansas is technically the home side, the game is on a neutral field in Arlington, Texas. AT&T Stadium is the home of the Dallas Cowboys. Neither team has won on the road, Texas A&M losing to Miami and Arkansas losing to LSU.

The Razorbacks lost to LSU 34-31 on the road in Week 4, but they did cover as an 18-point favorite as the Over 55 hit. Arkansas is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and 3-1 O/U this season. QB K.J. Jefferson leads the offense and has 918 passing yards and 9 TDs in 4 games.

Texas A&M beat Auburn at home in Week 4, defeating the Tigers 27-10 and covering as a 10-point favorite. It is 3-1 ATS on the season and 2-2 O/U. QB Conner Weigman leads the team with 979 passing yards and 8 TDs while 3 Aggies have totaled more than 100 rushing yards as well.

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Texas A&M at Arkansas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Texas A&M -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Arkansas +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
• Against the spread (ATS): Texas A&M -6.5 (-115) | Arkansas +6.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texas A&M at Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas A&M 34, Arkansas 28

Moneyline

PASS.

Arkansas has a strong offense and should be able to hang with Texas A&M, but it has struggled heavily of late, allowing 34 points to LSU and 38 points to BYU. The defense may not be able to hold up enough to pull off the upset. While the +195 is enticing, ultimately, avoid the moneyline play. Texas A&M at -250 is far too pricey to play outright.

Against the spread

LEAN ARKANSAS +6.5 (-105).

The Texas A&M defense played well against the Tigers in Week 4, giving up just 10 points. But, Jefferson and company should pose a threat more like Miami in which the Aggies gave up 48 on the road.

Jefferson will be the most dynamic player in this game and has a 70.4% completion rate vs.Weigman’s 68.9%. The Razorbacks’ dual-threat star should be good enough to thrash the Aggies’ defense and keep the game close.

Texas A&M was 3-4-1 ATS in conference games last season and 1-3 ATS on the road while Arkansas was 4-4 ATS in conference games and 2-2 ATS on the road. Back Jefferson and take ARKANSAS +6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 53.5 (-110).

Capable, confident quarterbacks against defense that have struggled against quality opponents this season lend credence to the Over. A&M gave up 48 to Miami. While it has allowed 10 or fewer in its 3 other games, Jefferson should pose a threat that is difficult to fully contain.

Arkansas has scored 30-plus points in 3 of 4 games as well, scoring 31 in each of its last 2. It has allowed 36 points per game over its last 2, the Razorbacks’ lone matchups against notable opponents, which A&M is.

Given the quarterback play and struggling defense, take OVER 53.5 (-110).

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