The No. 14 Ole Miss Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC) travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5, 2-4) Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ole Miss vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
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The Rebels blew their chance to make it to Atlanta for the 1st SEC title game with their 30-24 loss to Alabama on Saturday, but did cover as 10.5-point underdogs. Ole Miss is in line for a good bowl game for a second season in a row. Last season the 10-2 Rebels went to the Sugar Bowl and that is again a possibility if the team can remain focused and beat Arkansas this week.
Arkansas lost an ugly 13-10 game to LSU Saturday. With QB K.J. Jefferson out, Arkansas was not able to do anything on offense. Of course, LB Harold Perkins of LSU and his 4 sacks and 2 forced fumbles had a lot to do with that also.
This game will be a run heavy game. Jefferson is hoping to be back for Arkansas and his size, 6’5 and 240 pounds, is a tough load to bring down when he runs. On the other side, despite the air raid label, Ole Miss has rushed the ball better than any other team in the SEC in 2022. They will continue to run in this game and can take advantage of an Arkansas defense which has not been good for most of this season.
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Ole Miss at Arkansas odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Arkansas +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss -2.5 (-110) | Arkansas +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Rutgers at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 34, Arkansas 27
Moneyline
PASS.
My feeling is that Ole Miss wins this game and covers the ATS. Therefore, I would rather save the juice and not bet -135 on the Rebels.
Against the spread
BET OLE MISS -2.5 (-110).
The Rebels come into this game mad after blowing the game against Alabama Saturday. Arkansas is not Alabama, and the Rebels will be able to control this matchup against the Razorbacks.
If Jefferson returns for Arkansas, it would give them a big lift. But it is unknown if he will play and how healthy he would be if he does.
This game last season ended 52-51 Ole Miss after Arkansas missed a game winning 2-point conversion. This game will not get to that point, either in score or in closesness of the final score. Ole Miss -2.5 (-110) is my favorite way to play this game.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 64.5 (-112).
A 52-51 final will not happen this year like it did in 2021.
The Rebels offense which was carried by QB Matt Corral in 2021 is now carried by the run game. Ole Miss leads the SEC in rushing, and it will be a focus again this week.
On the other side, with Jefferson iffy to play we saw what the Arkansas offense can do when he is not on the field. Nothing. This game looks to be an Under waiting to happen. This number is so high due to last season’s game and the public perception of the 2 teams. It will not be the same shootout in 2022 and I like Under 64.5 (-112).
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