Missouri at Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

The Missouri Tigers (9-2, 5-2 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (4-7, 1-6) battle in a Friday contest in Fayetteville. Kickoff at Razorback Stadium is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Missouri vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Missouri is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.  The Tigers head into this game fresh off a 33-31 win over Florida last Saturday. Mizzou, a 12-point favorite, won on a field goal with 5 seconds remaining.

Arkansas defeated Florida International 44-20 as a -26.5 favorite in a non-conference game Saturday. The Razorbacks are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) over their last 4 games.

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Missouri at Arkansas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:54 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Missouri -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Arkansas +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
• Against the spread (ATS): Missouri -8.5 (-110) | Arkansas +8.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Missouri at Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 27, Arkansas 24

Moneyline

Mizzou has the momentum and is around a 75% probable to win this game. So, no leverage to be gained here. PASS.

Against the spread

Missouri’s recent run has included 3 games in as many weeks against Georgia, Tennessee and Florida. Figure this contest as due for a Tigers win in the 6-to-10-point range in a game with a likable Under.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 7-3 across the last 10 games of this series. The Under is 3-1 in Missouri’s last 4 games.

Arkansas’ offense might be a tad overrated after scoring 44 against FIU last week. But the Razorbacks benefitted from a plus-2 in turnover margin, a defensive score and 3 short-field scores for the offense.

For the most part, the best defensive performances for both sides are up close in the rearview mirror. In red-zone visits, both teams rank in the SEC’s bottom-50% in efficiency on offense and in the top-50% in the same numbers on defense. And both teams tend to settle for a frequent field goals. The weather report for this one is on the borderline of having some wind issues.

Peg the UNDER 55.5 (-110) as having enough value for a partial-unit play.

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