Arkansas State at James Madison Sun Belt Championship odds, tips and betting trends

Watch the No. 2 seed James Madison Dukes (30-3, 15-3 Sun Belt) and the No. 4 Arkansas State Red Wolves (18-15, 11-7 Sun Belt) meet to decide the Sun Belt conference champion on Monday at 7:00 PM ET, live on ESPN.

The Dukes are a 6-point favorite against the Red Wolves when the Dukes and the Red Wolves meet. The game features an over/under of 153.5.

James Madison’s record against the spread so far this season is 18-14-0, and Arkansas State’s is 21-11-1. A total of 15 out of the Dukes’ games this season have hit the over, and 13 of the Red Wolves’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 163.2 points per game, 9.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, James Madison is 4-6 against the spread and 10-0 overall while Arkansas State has gone 9-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

Before this matchup, here is everything you need to get ready for Monday’s college hoops action.

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Arkansas State at James Madison odds, spread and lines

College basketball odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 9:10 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Spread: James Madison -6
• Total: 153.5
• Moneyline: James Madison -259, Arkansas State +211

James Madison vs. Arkansas State prediction

James Madison 81, Arkansas State 73

Moneyline

• James Madison is 27-2 in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 93.1%).
• The Dukes have a record of 24-2 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -259 or shorter (92.3% win percentage).
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, James Madison has an implied win probability of 72.1%.

• Arkansas State has entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won four, or 28.6%, of those games.
• The Red Wolves have a record of 1-4 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +211 on the moneyline.
• Arkansas State has a 32.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Against the spread

• James Madison has covered 18 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• Arkansas State is 21-11-1 ATS this year.
• The Dukes put up 84.2 points per game, 7.5 more points than the 76.7 the Red Wolves allow.
• When James Madison totals more than 76.7 points, it is 14-9 against the spread and 24-0 overall.
• Arkansas State has a 15-9 record against the spread and a 14-10 record overall when allowing fewer than 84.2 points.
• The Red Wolves score an average of 79 points per game, 9.9 more points than the 69.1 the Dukes give up to opponents.
• Arkansas State has put together an 18-7-1 ATS record and a 16-10 overall record in games it scores more than 69.1 points.
• James Madison is 15-10 against the spread and 25-1 overall when it allows fewer than 79 points.

Over/Under

• The Dukes’ average implied point total this season is 2.4 more points than their implied total in Monday’s game (82.4 implied points on average compared to 80 implied points in this game).
• So far this season, James Madison has put up more than 80 points in a game 20 times.
• The Red Wolves’ average implied point total on the season (80 points) is six points higher than their implied total in this matchup (74 points).
• On the season, Arkansas State has put up more than 74 points in a game 23 times.