The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3, 0-2 SEC) travel to take on the No. 15 Ole Miss Rebels (4-1, 1-1) Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas vs. Ole Miss odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Both Arkansas and Ole Miss come into this matchup after physical battles on Saturday. While Arkansas lost to Texas A&M 34-22 as 6.5-point underdogs, Ole Miss was winning a high-powered battle against LSU 55-49 as 2.5-point home underdogs. This should be another high scoring affair between these 2 SEC West teams.
The past 2 games in this series have both gone Over the posted total. Last season in Fayetteville, Arkansas won 42-27 and hit the Over of 68. In 2021, Ole Miss won 52-51 as the Over of 69 easily cashed.
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Arkansas at Ole Miss odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Ole Miss -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +11.5 (-110) | Ole Miss -11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 62.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Arkansas at Ole Miss picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 45, Arkansas 38
Moneyline
PASS.
The numbers are too high to bet on either side here with any value.
Against the spread
BET ARKANSAS +11.5 (-110).
Arkansas always plays well in this series. In the past 10 matchups between the teams, Arkansas has covered the spread on 9 occasions. The only outlier was a 14-point Ole Miss win as 5-point favorites in 2019.
With neither defense playing elite and both offenses able to score, this will be another up and down battle. The team able to get even one stop could end up the winner.
Thus 11.5 points is too much for either team. I will take the value offered on the underdog Razorbacks.
Over/Under
BET OVER 62.5.
The past 2 games in this series have gone well over this number. This is the lowest total since 2019 when the total was 50.5. Since then, the total has not been Under 68 and it should not be this low now.
Both teams can score. Arkansas averages 33.6 points per game while Ole Miss is at 44.6 points. This will be another game to take the Over in the series as the points pile up. If there is a play to make, this is the one.
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